Publication

2013 - Springer London, Limited

Language

English

Word Count

21,000 words, Guess

Page Count

84 pages

Identifiers

  • ISBN-139783319010380
  • ISBN-103319010387
  • Better World Books9783319010380
  • Open LibraryOL35792275M

Classifications

  • LCCQC1-75

Description

This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.

Subjects

Other Editions

  • Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-Temporal DataSpringer London, Limited2013

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