Contributions

  • Hanson, Samuel (Samuel Gregory) - Contributor
  • Harvard Business School - Contributor

Publication

2009 - Harvard Business School, Boston, Massachusetts

Language

English

Word Count

14,250 words, Guess

Page Count

57 pages

Identifiers

Description

When investors overvalue a particular firm characteristic, corporations endowed with that characteristic can absorb some of the demand by issuing equity. We use time-series variation in differences between the attributes of stock issuers and repurchasers to shed light on characteristic-related mispricing. When issuing firms are large relative to repurchasing firms, for example, we find that large firms subsequently underperform. This holds true even when we restrict attention to the returns of firms that do not issue at all, suggesting that issuance is partly an attempt to arbitrage mispriced characteristics. Our approach helps forecast returns to portfolios based on book-to-market, size, price, distress, payout policy, profitability, and industry. Our results provide a new perspective on equity market timing more generally.

Subjects

Series Statement

  • Working paper / Harvard Business School -- 09-099

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