Contributions

  • Weir, Maurice Dean - Contributor
  • Hoffman, James C. (James Charles) - Contributor
  • Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Dept. of Mathematics - Contributor

Publication

1991 - Available from National Technical Information Service, Monterey, Calif, California

Language

English

Word Count

5,750 words, Guess

Page Count

23 pages

Identifiers

Alternate Titles

  • NPS-MA-92-001.

Description

Assessment of effects of changes in weapons systems or battle tactics is difficult because of the variations in battles and the resulting instability of measures of combat effectiveness. Even in the relatively stable conditions of designed experimentation, traditional measures may fail to reflect important battle events and dynamics, and sample sizes are driven high in an effort to overcome large variances. This variation in results makes the design, conduct and evaluation of combat experimentation a challenging endeavor, indeed. We develop and examine a measure of combat effectiveness, based on Lanchester models, which we call the battle trace. The battle trace is a measure of ongoing battle results, measured as a function of time into the battle. We discuss how such measures can be used to compare effects of factor levels in designed comparisons, and we describe an application to evaluation of human factors in combat simulations.

Subjects

Topics

BattlesCombat effectivenessMathematical methodsWeapon system effectiveness

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